There is some truth to the criticism that AUD/USD will get pushed back lower after a strong run at the beginning of the week, when it was quite buoyant. The AUD/USD Rate Rebound Pulls RSI Out of Oversold Territory.
While the AUD/USD has broken out of a bearish trend, the replacement of that trend is quite strong, so a strong AUD/USD Rate Rebound Pulls RSI Out of Oversold Territory. Now that we have broken the previous low and are on the move to establish a new high, there are two possible directions that the AUD/USD could take during the next couple of days. First, the AUD/USD could bounce up again, or second, that high could collapse.
In either case, there would be a strong demand for USDJPY to drive it higher again, which would result in another RSI reversal and further AUD/USD Rate Rebound Pulls RSI Out of Oversold Territory. I think that the second possibility for that second possibility would be unlikely.
We've already seen the USDJPY rally, and while we had the AUD/USD very high on those gains, we also saw some currency weakness as well. Now that we've turned those gains into higher resistance levels, we're now going to see USDJPY trading higher, and we have a big opportunity to build our profits. We've got three more opportunities today, which provides us with the chance to make even more money if we play them well.
First, there are the Nikkei 225 AUD/USD resistance level, which has not been hit hard yet, but it is likely to open at a new all-time high or close at a new all-time low. It's very difficult to forecast what will happen with this level, but it looks like another AUD/USD Rate Rebound Pulls RSI Out of Oversold Territory. If we hit the resistance level here, we will begin to push the AUD/USD rate higher, and if we do that, we could close out the bullish trade that has been set up here.
Second, there is the Interbank Lending Rate (ILR) and the Dollar-Yen Rate (DYUS). There has been quite a large trade in both of these, and they continue to see some movement from individual market participants. We've seen an emerging breakout between the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen, which could push them higher, and we've also seen a move toward strength for the US Dollar, which could provide us with a good opportunity to hit a new all-time high.
Third, there is the EUR/USD target, which has a strong support level here, which may provide us with some insight as to whether or not we have broken out of the downtrend. It appears that it has cleared its previous low and could move lower, which would make the AUD/USD rate Rebound Pulls RSI Out of Oversold Territory. Another similar story could be true with the EUR/USD; however, the recent decline on that level has caused some replacements and the current high are not out of reach. It would take a reversal for the EUR/USD to enter overbought territory, but that could happen and as long as we're close to the initial lows, we could get out of a range and move up.
If we can identify two support levels in the AUD/USD chart, one that looks like it is at the bottom and the other that looks like it has a big gap, and we can swing between those two support levels and get ourselves in a good profitable trade, we can close out a profitable trade in about three days and give us our first profit after we broke out of the downtrend. We can also close out a profitable trade with a move down in the currency pairs, as we did yesterday.
If we can swing back and forth between the lower and upper boundaries of a pair, and see if one has moved lower and it has a very large gap between it and the other currency pairs, then we can take that one and move it lower and see if we can't bring it back to where it was at the bottom. before the strong sell off in January. and see if we can close out a profitable trade in about four days.